A.J. Green

WR · ARIgsis 00-0027942

Graded seasons

1 below volume

Average grade

44.2

across 5 qualified seasons

Best / worst season

64.32016/9.32020

2022 WR

ARIRich data

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

insufficient sample

Team offense -0.090 EPA/play · rank #29 of 32Top QB Kyler Murray · grade 32.7 (421 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	average	18 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.329	well below average	37 targets
Separation	2.34 yd	below average	37 targets
Success / target	32.4%	well below average	37 targets
Target earn rate	7.8%	well below average	472 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.86	below average	17 receptions

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2021 WR

ARIRich data

52th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.06

confidence 89%

Team offense +0.054 EPA/play · rank #11 of 32Top QB Kyler Murray · grade 73.6 (551 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	53 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.319	average	89 targets
Separation	2.51 yd	below average	89 targets
Success / target	53.9%	average	89 targets
Target earn rate	17.0%	average	523 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.02	average	53 receptions

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2020 WR

CINRich data

1th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -1.98

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.049 EPA/play · rank #26 of 32Top QB Joe Burrow · grade 55.0 (436 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	2.13%	above average	47 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.100	well below average	101 targets
Separation	1.72 yd	well below average	101 targets
Success / target	40.6%	well below average	101 targets
Target earn rate	18.2%	average	554 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.35	well below average	46 receptions

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2018 WR

CINRich data

57th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.08

confidence 74%

Team offense -0.011 EPA/play · rank #19 of 32Top QB Andy Dalton · grade 47.2 (387 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	4.44%	above average	45 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.424	above average	74 targets
Separation	2.03 yd	well below average	74 targets
Success / target	56.8%	above average	74 targets
Target earn rate	23.2%	above average	319 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.37	average	40 receptions

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2017 WR

CINRich data

46th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.10

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.106 EPA/play · rank #25 of 32Top QB Andy Dalton · grade 37.5 (535 dropbacks)

⚠Grade may be suppressed by QB context — v1's per-target efficiency components don't adjust for the passer (see ADR-0017).

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	2.67%	above average	75 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.089	below average	139 targets
Separation	2.35 yd	below average	139 targets
Success / target	46.8%	average	139 targets
Target earn rate	30.3%	well above average	458 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.11	average	69 receptions

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2016 WR

CINRich data

78th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.51

confidence 99%

Team offense +0.042 EPA/play · rank #9 of 32Top QB Andy Dalton · grade 55.2 (604 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	65 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.480	well above average	99 targets
Separation	2.46 yd	below average	99 targets
Success / target	54.5%	above average	99 targets
Target earn rate	29.7%	well above average	333 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.21	below average	63 receptions

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