Curtis Samuel

WR·

5 graded seasons·38.7 average·50.3 best (2022)

35.4

2023 grade· 24 pct

Career grade trend

2024 WR

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	0.0%	10th	−5%	31 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.206	4th	35%	44 targets
Separation	4.04 yd	94th	10%	44 targets
Success / target	38.6%	8th	5%	44 targets
Target earn rate	11.5%	8th	15%	383 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.15	33rd	27%	29 receptions

24th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.52

confidence 87%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	1.6%	10th	−5%	64 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.064	18th	35%	87 targets
Separation	3.09 yd	66th	10%	87 targets
Success / target	47.1%	27th	5%	87 targets
Target earn rate	16.5%	26th	15%	527 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.24	26th	27%	56 receptions

54th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.01

confidence 88%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	1.4%	9th	−5%	72 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.277	61st	35%	88 targets
Separation	3.60 yd	94th	10%	88 targets
Success / target	45.5%	17th	5%	88 targets
Target earn rate	18.8%	43rd	15%	467 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.58	20th	27%	60 receptions

48th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.01

confidence 95%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.388	67th	35%	95 targets
Separation	3.54 yd	93rd	10%	95 targets
Success / target	56.8%	66th	5%	95 targets
Target earn rate	19.5%	53rd	15%	486 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.47	10th	27%	75 receptions

5th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.91

confidence 98%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.039	12th	35%	98 targets
Separation	2.61 yd	38th	10%	98 targets
Success / target	42.9%	10th	5%	98 targets
Target earn rate	18.4%	38th	15%	532 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.03	11th	27%	44 receptions

15th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.66

confidence 63%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.148	33rd	35%	63 targets
Separation	2.25 yd	13th	10%	63 targets
Success / target	49.2%	37th	5%	63 targets
Target earn rate	15.6%	26th	15%	403 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.36	17th	27%	34 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.070	25th	35%	23 targets
Separation	3.13 yd	74th	10%	23 targets
Success / target	47.8%	46th	5%	23 targets
Target earn rate	11.1%	12th	15%	208 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.55	14th	27%	15 receptions