J.J. Nelson

WR·

2 graded seasons·39.7 average·59.4 best (2016)

20.1

2017 grade· 4 pct

Career grade trend

2017 WR

4th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -1.20

confidence 54%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.149	8th	35%	54 targets
Separation	2.43 yd	33rd	10%	54 targets
Success / target	42.6%	21st	5%	54 targets
Target earn rate	10.4%	5th	15%	521 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.38	10th	27%	23 receptions

72th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.33

confidence 72%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.282	64th	35%	72 targets
Separation	3.00 yd	75th	10%	72 targets
Success / target	43.1%	18th	5%	72 targets
Target earn rate	13.5%	13th	15%	535 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+1.28	90th	27%	29 receptions