Sammy Watkins

WR·

5 graded seasons·59.3 average·72.5 best (2018)

61.9

2020 grade· 78 pct

Career grade trend

2022 WR

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	5.3%	58th	−5%	19 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.378	67th	35%	27 targets
Separation	1.76 yd	6th	10%	27 targets
Success / target	55.6%	64th	5%	27 targets
Target earn rate	10.2%	8th	15%	266 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+2.51	94th	27%	16 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.041	15th	35%	49 targets
Separation	3.20 yd	63rd	10%	49 targets
Success / target	49.0%	39th	5%	49 targets
Target earn rate	13.0%	14th	15%	377 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.02	61st	27%	26 receptions

78th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.42

confidence 55%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.387	63rd	35%	55 targets
Separation	3.96 yd	98th	10%	55 targets
Success / target	65.5%	91st	5%	55 targets
Target earn rate	14.2%	18th	15%	388 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.36	72nd	27%	36 receptions

52th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.08

confidence 88%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.179	33rd	35%	88 targets
Separation	2.87 yd	62nd	10%	88 targets
Success / target	46.6%	24th	5%	88 targets
Target earn rate	19.6%	47th	15%	449 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.77	82nd	27%	49 receptions

91th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.84

confidence 53%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.566	84th	35%	53 targets
Separation	3.42 yd	88th	10%	53 targets
Success / target	60.4%	82nd	5%	53 targets
Target earn rate	15.4%	25th	15%	344 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+1.28	93rd	27%	38 receptions

81th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.54

confidence 70%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.430	86th	35%	70 targets
Separation	2.42 yd	30th	10%	70 targets
Success / target	52.9%	72nd	5%	70 targets
Target earn rate	15.6%	26th	15%	448 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.85	84th	27%	35 receptions

35th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.19

confidence 52%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.247	56th	35%	52 targets
Separation	2.66 yd	49th	10%	52 targets
Success / target	51.9%	59th	5%	52 targets
Target earn rate	23.4%	69th	15%	222 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.86	12th	27%	26 receptions