Sterling Shepard

WR · TBgsis 00-0032385

Graded seasons

2 below volume

Average grade

47.2

across 7 qualified seasons

Best / worst season

63.42017/34.02025

2025 WR

TBRich data

17th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.57

confidence 51%

Team offense -0.006 EPA/play · rank #18 of 32Top QB Baker Mayfield · grade 38.2 (585 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	2.70%	above average	37 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.002	below average	51 targets
Separation	3.21 yd	above average	51 targets
Success / target	49.0%	average	51 targets
Target earn rate	12.7%	below average	403 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.22	below average	36 receptions

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2024 WR

TBRich data

30th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.41

confidence 50%

Team offense +0.130 EPA/play · rank #5 of 32Top QB Baker Mayfield · grade 74.6 (632 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	average	31 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.268	average	50 targets
Separation	3.11 yd	average	50 targets
Success / target	50.0%	average	50 targets
Target earn rate	12.4%	below average	403 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.89	below average	30 receptions

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2022 WR

NYGRich data

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

insufficient sample

Team offense +0.037 EPA/play · rank #8 of 32Top QB Daniel Jones · grade 55.2 (589 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	average	13 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.130	below average	24 targets
Separation	—	—	24 targets
Success / target	29.2%	well below average	24 targets
Target earn rate	28.2%	average	85 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.76	average	13 receptions

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2021 WR

NYGRich data

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

insufficient sample

Team offense -0.165 EPA/play · rank #32 of 32Top QB Daniel Jones · grade 33.8 (384 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	25 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.036	below average	38 targets
Separation	2.62 yd	average	38 targets
Success / target	42.1%	below average	38 targets
Target earn rate	19.0%	average	200 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.22	average	25 receptions

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2020 WR

NYGRich data

39th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.21

confidence 88%

Team offense -0.056 EPA/play · rank #27 of 32Top QB Daniel Jones · grade 22.3 (496 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	65 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.297	average	88 targets
Separation	3.03 yd	average	88 targets
Success / target	56.8%	average	88 targets
Target earn rate	23.8%	above average	370 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.57	below average	63 receptions

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2019 WR

NYGRich data

40th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.20

confidence 80%

Team offense -0.072 EPA/play · rank #25 of 32Top QB Daniel Jones · grade 22.9 (500 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	55 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.107	below average	80 targets
Separation	3.13 yd	above average	80 targets
Success / target	55.0%	average	80 targets
Target earn rate	25.0%	above average	320 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.20	below average	53 receptions

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2018 WR

NYGRich data

73th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.35

confidence 100%

Team offense +0.018 EPA/play · rank #16 of 32Top QB Eli Manning · grade 39.9 (628 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	64 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.329	average	103 targets
Separation	3.14 yd	above average	103 targets
Success / target	49.5%	average	103 targets
Target earn rate	19.1%	average	538 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.13	average	60 receptions

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2017 WR

NYGRich data

75th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.48

confidence 74%

Team offense -0.113 EPA/play · rank #27 of 32Top QB Eli Manning · grade 29.3 (607 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	1.92%	average	52 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.335	above average	74 targets
Separation	2.41 yd	below average	74 targets
Success / target	56.8%	above average	74 targets
Target earn rate	18.0%	average	410 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.54	above average	52 receptions

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2016 WR

NYGRich data

45th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.12

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.073 EPA/play · rank #26 of 32Top QB Eli Manning · grade 25.7 (665 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	64 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.197	average	104 targets
Separation	2.74 yd	average	104 targets
Success / target	48.1%	average	104 targets
Target earn rate	18.4%	average	565 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.70	average	59 receptions

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