Adam Thielen

WR · PITgsis 00-0030035

Graded seasons

2 below volume

Average grade

56.1

across 8 qualified seasons

Best / worst season

70.02024/31.82022

2025 WR

MINRich data

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

insufficient sample

Team offense -0.116 EPA/play · rank #28 of 32Top QB J.J. McCarthy · grade 15.6 (273 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	average	19 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.161	average	33 targets
Separation	—	—	33 targets
Success / target	57.6%	above average	33 targets
Target earn rate	7.7%	well below average	429 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.07	below average	19 receptions

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2024 WR

CARRich data

85th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.74

confidence 56%

Team offense -0.052 EPA/play · rank #23 of 32Top QB Bryce Young · grade 35.3 (414 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	44 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.775	well above average	56 targets
Separation	3.00 yd	average	56 targets
Success / target	66.1%	well above average	56 targets
Target earn rate	21.5%	average	261 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.19	below average	39 receptions

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2023 WR

CARRich data

61th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.20

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.180 EPA/play · rank #30 of 32Top QB Bryce Young · grade 10.8 (590 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	2.08%	above average	96 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.394	above average	129 targets
Separation	2.89 yd	average	129 targets
Success / target	56.6%	above average	129 targets
Target earn rate	26.1%	above average	495 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.43	below average	95 receptions

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2022 WR

MINRich data

17th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.66

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.004 EPA/play · rank #19 of 32Top QB Kirk Cousins · grade 54.2 (732 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	65 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.125	below average	100 targets
Separation	2.70 yd	below average	100 targets
Success / target	53.0%	average	100 targets
Target earn rate	16.4%	below average	608 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.10	below average	60 receptions

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2021 WR

MINRich data

46th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.13

confidence 95%

Team offense +0.022 EPA/play · rank #15 of 32Top QB Kirk Cousins · grade 61.8 (592 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	1.49%	average	67 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.253	average	95 targets
Separation	3.12 yd	average	95 targets
Success / target	50.5%	average	95 targets
Target earn rate	20.3%	average	467 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.09	below average	60 receptions

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2020 WR

MINRich data

68th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.34

confidence 99%

Team offense +0.092 EPA/play · rank #9 of 32Top QB Kirk Cousins · grade 67.7 (562 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.00%	below average	67 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.381	average	99 targets
Separation	2.67 yd	below average	99 targets
Success / target	64.6%	well above average	99 targets
Target earn rate	24.4%	above average	405 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.45	average	57 receptions

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2019 WR

MINRich data

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

insufficient sample

Team offense +0.033 EPA/play · rank #11 of 32Top QB Kirk Cousins · grade 71.8 (543 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	3.33%	above average	30 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.429	above average	47 targets
Separation	3.05 yd	above average	47 targets
Success / target	51.1%	average	47 targets
Target earn rate	18.0%	average	261 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.12	average	26 receptions

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2018 WR

MINRich data

66th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.22

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.082 EPA/play · rank #27 of 32Top QB Kirk Cousins · grade 41.4 (651 dropbacks)

⚠Grade may be suppressed by QB context — v1's per-target efficiency components don't adjust for the passer (see ADR-0017).

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	0.98%	average	102 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.358	average	140 targets
Separation	2.90 yd	average	140 targets
Success / target	61.4%	well above average	140 targets
Target earn rate	25.2%	above average	556 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.00	below average	96 receptions

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2017 WR

MINRich data

80th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.54

confidence 100%

Team offense +0.001 EPA/play · rank #10 of 32Top QB Case Keenum · grade 73.6 (595 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	2.22%	above average	90 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.302	above average	141 targets
Separation	2.67 yd	average	141 targets
Success / target	50.4%	average	141 targets
Target earn rate	27.5%	well above average	513 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.12	above average	88 receptions

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2016 WR

MINRich data

77th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.51

confidence 86%

Team offense -0.042 EPA/play · rank #22 of 32Top QB Sam Bradford · grade 57.2 (590 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Fumble rate	1.59%	average	63 receptions
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.416	above average	86 targets
Separation	2.75 yd	average	86 targets
Success / target	59.3%	above average	86 targets
Target earn rate	16.1%	below average	533 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.16	average	62 receptions

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