David Johnson

RB · NOgsis 00-0032187

Graded seasons

1 below volume

Average grade

42.6

across 4 qualified seasons

Best / worst season

61.62016/21.42018

2021 RB

HOURich data

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

insufficient sample

Team offense -0.141 EPA/play · rank #31 of 32Top QB Davis Mills · grade 31.9 (426 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Catch rate	73.7%	below average	38 targets
Fumble rate	2.17%	well above average	92 touchs
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.304	well below average	38 targets
Rush EPA / att	-0.325	well below average	64 rushs
Rush success rate	18.8%	well below average	64 rushs
RYOE / att	—	—	64 rushs
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.85	below average	28 receptions

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HOURich data

63th percentile among qualified RBs

z = +0.15

confidence 69%

Team offense +0.101 EPA/play · rank #6 of 32Top QB Deshaun Watson · grade 80.2 (597 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Catch rate	69.8%	below average	43 targets
Fumble rate	0.58%	average	172 touchs
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.054	average	43 targets
Rush EPA / att	-0.027	average	142 rushs
Rush success rate	35.9%	below average	142 rushs
RYOE / att	+0.41	above average	142 rushs
YAC / rec vs exp	+1.10	above average	28 receptions

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ARIRich data

17th percentile among qualified RBs

z = -0.62

confidence 50%

Team offense +0.003 EPA/play · rank #15 of 32Top QB Kyler Murray · grade 31.4 (593 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Catch rate	75.6%	average	45 targets
Fumble rate	0.80%	average	125 touchs
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.005	average	45 targets
Rush EPA / att	-0.175	below average	91 rushs
Rush success rate	34.1%	below average	91 rushs
RYOE / att	-0.68	below average	91 rushs
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.54	average	32 receptions

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ARIRich data

8th percentile among qualified RBs

z = -1.13

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.257 EPA/play · rank #32 of 32Top QB Josh Rosen · grade 4.6 (439 dropbacks)

⚠Grade may be suppressed by QB context — v1's per-target efficiency components don't adjust for the passer (see ADR-0017).

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Catch rate	67.2%	well below average	64 targets
Fumble rate	1.05%	above average	286 touchs
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.179	below average	64 targets
Rush EPA / att	-0.202	well below average	243 rushs
Rush success rate	29.6%	well below average	243 rushs
RYOE / att	-0.16	below average	243 rushs
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.38	average	43 receptions

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ARIRich data

80th percentile among qualified RBs

z = +0.41

confidence 100%

Team offense -0.020 EPA/play · rank #20 of 32Top QB Carson Palmer · grade 52.3 (641 dropbacks)

Stat	Value	vs. position average	Sample
Catch rate	68.4%	below average	114 targets
Fumble rate	1.35%	above average	371 touchs
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.186	above average	114 targets
Rush EPA / att	-0.064	average	293 rushs
Rush success rate	42.7%	above average	293 rushs
RYOE / att	—	—	293 rushs
YAC / rec vs exp	+2.47	above average	77 receptions

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