A.J. Brown

WR·

7 graded seasons·74.2 average·86.4 best (2020)

51.0

2025 grade· 58 pct

Career grade trend

2025 WR

58th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.03

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	5.6%	46th	−5%	89 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.207	47th	35%	117 targets
Separation	2.24 yd	10th	10%	117 targets
Success / target	51.3%	50th	5%	117 targets
Target earn rate	29.3%	93rd	15%	399 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.70	45th	27%	72 receptions

100th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +1.39

confidence 96%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	2.8%	22nd	−5%	71 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.655	97th	35%	96 targets
Separation	2.09 yd	5th	10%	96 targets
Success / target	62.5%	95th	5%	96 targets
Target earn rate	34.5%	97th	15%	278 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+1.61	96th	27%	62 receptions

87th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.79

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	3.5%	26th	−5%	115 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.423	85th	35%	154 targets
Separation	2.48 yd	17th	10%	154 targets
Success / target	53.9%	69th	5%	154 targets
Target earn rate	30.5%	95th	15%	505 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.29	76th	27%	101 receptions

98th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +1.31

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	4.8%	57th	−5%	105 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.375	83rd	35%	144 targets
Separation	2.64 yd	22nd	10%	144 targets
Success / target	52.1%	55th	5%	144 targets
Target earn rate	28.9%	94th	15%	499 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+2.16	99th	27%	81 receptions

74th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.35

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.346	68th	35%	104 targets
Separation	2.64 yd	28th	10%	104 targets
Success / target	55.8%	76th	5%	104 targets
Target earn rate	27.1%	90th	15%	384 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.45	50th	27%	60 receptions

100th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +1.61

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.619	97th	35%	106 targets
Separation	2.44 yd	12th	10%	106 targets
Success / target	59.4%	80th	5%	106 targets
Target earn rate	26.6%	90th	15%	398 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+2.36	99th	27%	67 receptions

99th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +1.58

confidence 82%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.591	94th	35%	82 targets
Separation	2.22 yd	12th	10%	82 targets
Success / target	52.4%	55th	5%	82 targets
Target earn rate	19.8%	48th	15%	414 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+4.88	99th	27%	47 receptions