Chester Rogers

WR·

1 graded season·37.4 average·37.4 best (2018)

37.4

2018 grade· 22 pct

2021 WR

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.055	26th	35%	42 targets
Separation	2.55 yd	30th	10%	42 targets
Success / target	52.4%	54th	5%	42 targets
Target earn rate	8.6%	3rd	15%	486 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.58	24th	27%	28 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.289	53rd	35%	28 targets
Separation	3.31 yd	79th	10%	28 targets
Success / target	39.3%	16th	5%	28 targets
Target earn rate	10.3%	5th	15%	271 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.08	39th	27%	14 receptions

22th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.45

confidence 67%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.163	34th	35%	67 targets
Separation	3.42 yd	90th	10%	67 targets
Success / target	53.7%	59th	5%	67 targets
Target earn rate	12.0%	9th	15%	560 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.10	20th	27%	50 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.028	30th	35%	33 targets
Separation	5.35 yd	99th	10%	33 targets
Success / target	45.5%	37th	5%	33 targets
Target earn rate	12.6%	14th	15%	262 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.10	56th	27%	19 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.027	26th	35%	34 targets
Separation	1.83 yd	11th	10%	34 targets
Success / target	52.9%	61st	5%	34 targets
Target earn rate	9.3%	4th	15%	364 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.20	29th	27%	19 receptions