Chris Hogan

WR·

2 graded seasons·66.8 average·72.2 best (2016)

61.4

2017 grade· 77 pct

Career grade trend

2020 WR

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	-0.237	6th	35%	23 targets
Separation	3.27 yd	68th	10%	23 targets
Success / target	43.5%	21st	5%	23 targets
Target earn rate	16.5%	32nd	15%	139 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.51	15th	27%	13 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.261	49th	35%	49 targets
Separation	3.66 yd	94th	10%	49 targets
Success / target	51.0%	46th	5%	49 targets
Target earn rate	10.1%	5th	15%	483 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.34	70th	27%	28 receptions

77th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.40

confidence 59%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.300	67th	35%	59 targets
Separation	2.76 yd	60th	10%	59 targets
Success / target	47.5%	43rd	5%	59 targets
Target earn rate	17.0%	34th	15%	348 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.99	85th	27%	31 receptions

95th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.83

confidence 54%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.539	92nd	35%	54 targets
Separation	3.27 yd	86th	10%	54 targets
Success / target	51.9%	59th	5%	54 targets
Target earn rate	11.0%	6th	15%	491 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+1.47	94th	27%	35 receptions