Courtland Sutton

WR·

7 graded seasons·44.1 average·62.8 best (2019)

50.8

2025 grade· 57 pct

Career grade trend

2025 WR

57th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.03

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	5.9%	49th	−5%	85 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.359	75th	35%	124 targets
Separation	2.24 yd	10th	10%	124 targets
Success / target	53.2%	62nd	5%	124 targets
Target earn rate	21.2%	60th	15%	584 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.06	31st	27%	69 receptions

38th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.24

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	3.4%	29th	−5%	87 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.338	61st	35%	127 targets
Separation	2.47 yd	15th	10%	127 targets
Success / target	55.9%	76th	5%	127 targets
Target earn rate	25.5%	81st	15%	499 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.20	6th	27%	67 receptions

44th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.30

confidence 88%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	8.1%	92nd	−5%	74 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.282	57th	35%	88 targets
Separation	3.05 yd	64th	10%	88 targets
Success / target	50.0%	43rd	5%	88 targets
Target earn rate	20.4%	49th	15%	432 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.94	13th	27%	49 receptions

31th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.40

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	3.9%	42nd	−5%	76 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.205	44th	35%	104 targets
Separation	2.68 yd	27th	10%	104 targets
Success / target	50.0%	40th	5%	104 targets
Target earn rate	23.1%	70th	15%	451 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.06	10th	27%	59 receptions

13th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.57

confidence 90%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.224	45th	35%	90 targets
Separation	2.53 yd	23rd	10%	90 targets
Success / target	47.8%	29th	5%	90 targets
Target earn rate	18.4%	44th	15%	489 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.20	7th	27%	51 receptions

83th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.46

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.381	74th	35%	121 targets
Separation	2.50 yd	27th	10%	121 targets
Success / target	45.5%	16th	5%	121 targets
Target earn rate	25.9%	88th	15%	468 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.26	72nd	27%	64 receptions

23th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.45

confidence 82%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.228	44th	35%	82 targets
Separation	2.24 yd	11th	10%	82 targets
Success / target	43.9%	15th	5%	82 targets
Target earn rate	14.9%	22nd	15%	549 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.62	38th	27%	37 receptions