Michael Thomas

WR·

6 graded seasons·61.5 average·80.6 best (2019)

36.7

2023 grade· 29 pct

Career grade trend

2023 WR

29th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.47

confidence 64%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	4.5%	47th	−5%	44 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.197	41st	35%	64 targets
Separation	1.98 yd	5th	10%	64 targets
Success / target	54.7%	68th	5%	64 targets
Target earn rate	17.8%	33rd	15%	359 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-1.41	26th	27%	38 receptions

Below volume threshold — grade shown for reference

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	0.0%	19th	−5%	19 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.667	86th	35%	20 targets
Separation	1.82 yd	11th	10%	20 targets
Success / target	65.0%	83rd	5%	20 targets
Target earn rate	19.6%	40th	15%	102 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-3.07	18th	27%	12 receptions

33th percentile among qualified WRs

z = -0.37

confidence 55%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.280	43rd	35%	55 targets
Separation	2.49 yd	21st	10%	55 targets
Success / target	58.2%	68th	5%	55 targets
Target earn rate	28.5%	86th	15%	193 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-2.02	7th	27%	40 receptions

96th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +1.24

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.582	97th	35%	177 targets
Separation	2.56 yd	31st	10%	177 targets
Success / target	71.2%	99th	5%	177 targets
Target earn rate	32.6%	99th	15%	543 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.37	51st	27%	140 receptions

98th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +1.15

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.598	95th	35%	140 targets
Separation	2.80 yd	50th	10%	140 targets
Success / target	66.4%	99th	5%	140 targets
Target earn rate	28.9%	97th	15%	485 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+0.13	72nd	27%	113 receptions

88th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.74

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.410	90th	35%	143 targets
Separation	2.59 yd	43rd	10%	143 targets
Success / target	59.4%	98th	5%	143 targets
Target earn rate	28.6%	96th	15%	500 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	-0.60	40th	27%	96 receptions

77th percentile among qualified WRs

z = +0.46

confidence 100%

Stat	Value	Percentile	Weight	Sample
Drop rate	—	—	−5%	0 catchable balls
Rec EPA / tgt	+0.182	43rd	35%	117 targets
Separation	2.44 yd	30th	10%	117 targets
Success / target	60.7%	95th	5%	117 targets
Target earn rate	19.4%	53rd	15%	602 team pass attempts
YAC / rec vs exp	+1.15	96th	27%	83 receptions